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Posted to: MBS Commentary
Friday, April 28, 2017 7:18 PM
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Bond markets began the day in slightly weaker territory, with Treasuries following European yields higher in the overnight session. Domestic hours brought more selling pressure out of the gate with Q1 wage growth coming in higher than expected.
There were also some counterpoints in the GDP data that made the 0.7 vs 1.2 result look more palatable. Namely, inventories cut 0.9% from the GDP headline. That means GDP would have come in at 1.6 vs 1.2 with a neutral inventory build.
Finally, the PCE and core PCE components of the GDP report were downright unfriendly…
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This information is not an advertisement to extend consumer credit as defined by Section 226.2 of Regulation Z. This is not an offer to enter into an agreement regarding interest rates. The rates quoted do not include discount points, origination points, or loan level risk based price adjustments. Rates presented in this report are averages and are subject to change without notice. You were sent this email because you opted to receive our weekly or daily email reports. Go here to manage your email preferences or here to unsubscribe from all email communications. |
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Posted to: MND NewsWire
Friday, April 28, 2017 9:24 AM
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Here we go again?
Sam Khater, CoreLogic’s deputy chief economist, says loan performance is beginning to show some cracks in what has been a near perfect veneer. This might be an early signal of a downturn in the credit cycle. Khater is not issuing a warning, merely alerting those who should be watching such things to pay attention.
He writes, in an article in the CoreLogic Insights blog, that a typical economic expansion and recession are strongly driven by loan performance. When times are good, lenders take on more marginal borrowers then tend to become more conservative when loan performance begins to deteriorate. That often exacerbates an economic downturn.
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Posted to: MND NewsWire
Thursday, April 27, 2017 12:23 PM
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The share of sales that are all-cash continues at an elevated level. CoreLogic reports cash transactions accounted for 36.5 percent of all home sales in January, unchanged from a year earlier. While the percentage of sales that close without third-party financing has declined from the January 2011 high of 46.6 percent, it remains well above the pre-crisis average of around one-quarter of sales.
Sales of bank-owned property (REO) had, as they always do, the largest share of cash transactions, 61.2 percent. Resales had a cash share of 36.5 percent and new homes a 17.7 percent share.
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Posted to: MBS Commentary
Friday, April 28, 2017 10:31 AM
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Bond markets are very much on a fence at the moment with respect to short and intermediate trends. There are a few ways we can measure this fence-sitting. The most basic would be to look at “pivot points” that have recently made a name for themselves. 2.31% is a good example as it’s been the modal bottom of the post-election range. In this context, “modal” refers to the most frequently recurring example of a particular technical level. In other words, 2.31% has seen more “floor bounces” than any other potential floor level.
Another way to look at…
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