Daily Rate Update: Mortgage Rates Spike to 2-Week Highs

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dailyrateheader.png
30 Year Fixed
4.53% +0.06
15 Year Fixed
4.10% +0.04
10YR Treasury
2.72% +0.0307
FNMA 30YR 3.5
100.00 -0.20
FNMA 15YR 2.5
99.80 -0.13
View Today’s Rates
Mortgage Rates Spike to 2-Week Highs
February 28, 2019
Mortgage rates moved quickly higher today following stronger-than-expected economic data. Rates are driven by the bond market. Bonds are safe-haven assets. When the economy is stronger, investors are less likely to to buy safe-haven assets. As demand for bonds drops, it’s the same as investors demanding higher rates of return before buying. In other words, it all adds up to the end user needing to pay a higher rate.

Today brought the release of two economic reports and both were strong. First up was the 2nd revision of Q4 GDP. Investors were prepared for this to fall short of analysts’ expectations due to the government shutdown and other year-end headwinds. Instead, it beat the forecast by 0.3% (2.6 vs 2.3 forecast). After that, a closely watched regional business survey from the Chicago Fed district sent the same message by easily beating its forecast.

In response to the data, underlying bond markets weakened–that is, they moved lower in price and higher in yield/rate. Many mortgage lenders were forced to adjust their rate sheet offerings accordingly. By the end of the day, the average lender was back up to rates last seen on February 15th.

Loan Originator Perspective

Bonds sold off today, as rates neared their one month highs. Tomorrow brings inflation data, which could push rates higher. I’m locking loans closing within 30 days. –Ted Rood, Senior Originator

Today’s Most Prevalent Rates

  • 30YR FIXED – 4.375 – 4.5%
  • FHA/VA – 4.125 – 4.25%
  • 15 YEAR FIXED – 4.0 – 4.125%
  • 5 YEAR ARMS – 4.25 – 4.625% depending on the lender


Ongoing Lock/Float Considerations

  • Headwinds that had plagued rates for most of the past 2 years began to die down in late 2018. A rapid decline in the stock market certainly helped drive investors into bonds (which helps rates) Highest rates in more than 7 years in Oct/Nov. 8-month lows by the end of the year
  • This is a bit of a crossroads. The rising rate environment could flare up again. We may look back at Oct/Nov and see a long-term ceiling, or we may look back at early December and see a temporary correction before more pain.
  • Either way, late 2018 was a sign that rates are willing to take opportunities presented to them. From here, it will be up to economic data, fiscal policies, and the stock market to decide on the next set of opportunities. The rougher the overall outlook, the better interest rates tend to do.
  • Rates discussed refer to the most frequently-quoted, conforming, conventional 30yr fixed rate for top tier borrowers among average to well-priced lenders. The rates generally assume little-to-no origination or discount except as noted when applicable. Rates appearing on this page are “effective rates” that take day-to-day changes in upfront costs into consideration.

30 Year Fixed Rate Mortgage
28?w=360
15 Year Fixed Rate Mortgage
28?w=360&p=15YRFRM

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Enable co-branding to personalize this report with your business information here. Learn more about co-branding with NO competitor ads.

Today’s Rates

Best Execution hdr_arrow.png
Rate Change
Current Mortgage Rates »
What are best-execution rates?
30 Yr FRM 4.53% +0.06
15 Yr FRM 4.10% +0.04
FHA 30 Year Fixed 4.18% +0.04
Jumbo 30 Year Fixed 4.35% +0.05
5/1 Yr ARM 4.40% +0.02

Average Mortgage Rates

Rate Points Change
FHFA * hdr_arrow.png
15 Yr. Fixed 4.22% 1.43 -0.12
30 Yr. Fixed 4.78% 1.18 -0.20
MBA ** hdr_arrow.png
30 Yr. Fixed 4.65% 0.42 -0.01
15 Yr. Fixed 4.00% 0.38 -0.04
30 Yr. Jumbo 4.40% 0.29 -0.16
30 Yr. FHA 4.64% 0.48 -0.04
5/1 ARM 3.95% 0.40 -0.05
Freddie Mac ** hdr_arrow.png
Current Mortgage Rates »
* FHFA averages are updated monthly.
** Mortgage Bankers Association (each Wednesday) and Freddie Mac (each Thursday) averages are updated weekly.
30 Yr. Fixed 4.35% 0.50 +0.00
15 Yr. Fixed 3.77% 0.50 -0.01
1 Yr. ARM 2.68% 0.20 +0.01
5/1 Yr. ARM 3.84% 0.30 +0.00

Secondary Markets

MBS hdr_arrow.png
Price Change
30YR FNMA 3.0 97.67 -0.27
30YR FNMA 3.5 100.00 -0.20
30YR GNMA 3.0 98.75 -0.23
30YR GNMA 3.5 100.88 -0.17
15YR FNMA 3.0 99.80 -0.13
15YR FNMA 2.5 98.05 -0.14
Treasuries hdr_arrow.png
Yield Change
Current MBS / Treasury Prices »
MBS and Treasury data provided by Thomson Reuters.
Mortgage News Daily and MBS Live! are exclusive re-distributors of Real Time Thomson Reuters Mortgage Information.
Secondary Marketing Managers:
If you are interested in gaining access to the most accurate real-time back-month TBA indications from Thomson Reuters and Tradeweb. Request More Information
2 YR 2.5182% +0.0182
5 YR 2.5156% +0.0336
10 YR 2.7168% +0.0307
30 YR 3.0818% +0.0162
Prices as of: 2/28/2019 5:06PM EST

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About This Report
Mortgage News Daily is a trusted source of mortgage rate market data and analysis, with over 1 million readers each month. Unlike many rate surveys, our survey is conducted on a daily basis and is designed to bring you the most current and accurate rate data available. We use a proprietary formula to calculate averages based on best-execution rates from top lender’s rate sheets, also taking into account feedback from hundreds of mortgage market professionals around the country.
© 2019 Brown House Media, Inc. All rights reserved.
Brown House Media Inc. – 19706 One Norman Blvd – Cornelius, NC 28031
View this Report in your Web Browser | Forward to a Friend | Subscribe
This information is not an advertisement to extend consumer credit as defined by Section 226.2 of Regulation Z. This is not an offer to enter into an agreement regarding interest rates. The rates quoted do not include discount points, origination points, or loan level risk based price adjustments. Rates presented in this report are averages and are subject to change without notice.
You were sent this email because you opted to receive our weekly or daily email reports. Go here to manage your email preferences or here to unsubscribe from all email communications.

Daily Newsletter: Homeownership is Highest Since 2014; Not Your Dad’s Cash Out Refi; Rates Spike to 2-Week High

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30 Year Fixed
4.53% +0.06
15 Year Fixed
4.10% +0.04
10YR Treasury
2.72% +0.0307
FNMA 30YR 3.5
100.00 -0.20
FNMA 15YR 2.5
99.80 -0.13
View Today’s Rates
Thursday February 28, 2019
MND NewsWire – 6:24PM
Homeownership is Highest Since 2014
The Census Bureau reported on Thursday that the national homeownership rate rose slightly in the fourth quarter of 2018 to 64.8 percent , up from 64.4 percent in the third quarter and …
MND NewsWire – 11:37AM
This Isn’t Your Father’s Cash Out Refi
The share of cash-out refinances spiked in 2017 and 2018 in a manner similar to what happened just before the Great Recession. The share jumped to 50 percent in 2017 and 61 percent …
Mortgage Rate Watch – 6:00PM
Mortgage Rates Spike to 2-Week Highs
Mortgage rates moved quickly higher today following stronger-than-expected economic data. Rates are driven by the bond market. Bonds are safe-haven assets. When the economy is stronger …
MBS Commentary – 9:53AM
MBS Day Ahead: Biggest Threat To The Range, But There’s a Catch
As many of you are likely tired of hearing, bonds have been locked in an increasingly narrow trading range for weeks. The bounces at the boundaries have been almost perfectly well behaved …

Latest Video


Q4 GDP increases 2.6%, jobless claims 225,000 vs 220,000 expected

Here’s why one trader sees the rate rally fading

Art Cashin: Why the next week or so is critical to markets

More News from ‘Around the Web’

newsletter_2D00_mbslive.png

Today’s Rates

Best Execution hdr_arrow.png
Rate Change
Current Mortgage Rates »
What are best-execution rates?
30 Yr FRM 4.53% +0.06
15 Yr FRM 4.10% +0.04
FHA 30 Year Fixed 4.18% +0.04
Jumbo 30 Year Fixed 4.35% +0.05
5/1 Yr ARM 4.40% +0.02

Average Mortgage Rates

Rate Points Change
FHFA * hdr_arrow.png
15 Yr. Fixed 4.22% 1.43 -0.12
30 Yr. Fixed 4.78% 1.18 -0.20
MBA ** hdr_arrow.png
30 Yr. Fixed 4.65% 0.42 -0.01
15 Yr. Fixed 4.00% 0.38 -0.04
30 Yr. Jumbo 4.40% 0.29 -0.16
30 Yr. FHA 4.64% 0.48 -0.04
5/1 ARM 3.95% 0.40 -0.05
Freddie Mac ** hdr_arrow.png
Current Mortgage Rates »
* FHFA averages are updated monthly.
** Mortgage Bankers Association (each Wednesday) and Freddie Mac (each Thursday) averages are updated weekly.
30 Yr. Fixed 4.35% 0.50 +0.00
15 Yr. Fixed 3.77% 0.50 -0.01
1 Yr. ARM 2.68% 0.20 +0.01
5/1 Yr. ARM 3.84% 0.30 +0.00

Secondary Markets

MBS hdr_arrow.png
Price Change
30YR FNMA 3.0 97.67 -0.27
30YR FNMA 3.5 100.00 -0.20
30YR GNMA 3.0 98.75 -0.23
30YR GNMA 3.5 100.88 -0.17
15YR FNMA 3.0 99.80 -0.13
15YR FNMA 2.5 98.05 -0.14
Treasuries hdr_arrow.png
Yield Change
Current MBS / Treasury Prices »
MBS and Treasury data provided by Thomson Reuters.
Mortgage News Daily and MBS Live! are exclusive re-distributors of Real Time Thomson Reuters Mortgage Information.
Secondary Marketing Managers:
If you are interested in gaining access to the most accurate real-time back-month TBA indications from Thomson Reuters and Tradeweb. Request More Information
TR_Eikon_Email.png
2 YR 2.5182% +0.0182
5 YR 2.5156% +0.0336
10 YR 2.7168% +0.0307
30 YR 3.0818% +0.0162
Prices as of: 2/28/2019 5:06PM EST

23623981

This information is not an advertisement to extend consumer credit as defined by Section 226.2 of Regulation Z. This is not an offer to enter into an agreement regarding interest rates. The rates quoted do not include discount points, origination points, or loan level risk based price adjustments. Rates and terms are subject to change without notice.
© 2019 Brown House Media, Inc. All rights reserved.
Brown House Media Inc. – 19706 One Norman Blvd – Cornelius, NC 28031
View this Report in your Web Browser | Forward to a Friend | Subscribe
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This Isn’t Your Father’s Cash Out Refi

This Isn’t Your Father’s Cash Out Refi

Posted to: MND NewsWire
Thursday, February 28, 2019 10:55 AM

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The share of cash-out refinances spiked in 2017 and 2018 in a manner similar to what happened just before the Great Recession. The share jumped to 50 percent in 2017 and 61 percent in 2018, the highest since 2006. In two posts in CoreLogic’s Insights blog however Arthur Jobe maintains that the current surge is nothing like that earlier one. They differ by credit quality, dollar volume, and borrower characteristics and therefore present much less risk this time around. The volume of both cash-out and non-cash-out loans increased in 2015 and 2016 as borrowers enjoyed a two-year window when decreasing interest rates and continued home-price growth offered ideal conditions for refinancing.

(READ THE FULL POST)

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MBS Day Ahead: Biggest Threat To The Range, But There’s a Catch

Before you read it here, it was on MBS Live.
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MBS Day Ahead: Biggest Threat To The Range, But There’s a Catch

Posted to: MBS Commentary
Thursday, February 28, 2019 9:53 AM

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As many of you are likely tired of hearing, bonds have been locked in an increasingly narrow trading range for weeks. The bounces at the boundaries have been almost perfectly well behaved. In other words, since setting the lines for the first time, we haven’t had to adjust them very much in order to contain a few of the more volatile days.

This process of adjustment is something we expect to have to do when a consolidation range will run out of room before the time when fundamental events stand a better chance of actually informing a true break away from the range. …

(READ THE FULL POST)

More from MND:

If you have trouble viewing this email, you can read the full post at http://www.mortgagenewsdaily.com/mortgage_rates/blog/902566.aspx

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Non-QM Products; Personnel Moves; Lender Profit Study; PennyMac/MCT API Bidding News

Non-QM Products; Personnel Moves; Lender Profit Study; PennyMac/MCT API Bidding News

Posted to: Pipeline Press
Thursday, February 28, 2019 8:10 AM

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Lenders need to be aware of the myriad of things that indirectly impact our business. The poverty rate declined overall in 2017 but the rate among Hispanics had one of the largest year-to-year drops across demographic groups and was the lowest since poverty estimates for Hispanics were first published in 1972. Nice! We can balance this good news versus… A trillion dollars of student debt? Yup. And from 2000 to 2012, 9.5 million people were diagnosed with cancer in the U.S. Of those people, more than 42 percent drained their life’s assets within two years. Cancer patients are 2.65 times as likely to file for bankruptcy. (While I’m ranting, American drug companies, who argue that the prices they charge are re-invested back into research and development of new medications, instead distribute the money to stockholders. Yes, I know there’s a lot wrong out there.)

(READ THE FULL POST)

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Daily Newsletter: Mortgage Apps Surge on Lower Rates; Millennials Sharing Housing; Pending Sales Surprise!

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dailynewsletter.png
30 Year Fixed
4.47% +0.02
15 Year Fixed
4.06% +0.01
10YR Treasury
2.69% +0.0486
FNMA 30YR 3.5
100.20 -0.19
FNMA 15YR 2.5
99.92 -0.11
View Today’s Rates
Wednesday February 27, 2019
MND NewsWire – 8:14AM
Mortgage Apps Surge in Response to Lower Rates
Mortgage applications increased for the second week as interest rates again ticked lower at well under 5 percent. The Mortgage Bankers Association said its Market Composite Index, a …
MND NewsWire – 9:56AM
More Than a Third of Millennials are Sharing Housing
More than a year has elapsed since the Census Bureau collected data for its most recent (2017) American Community Survey (ACS), but unless things have changed drastically in that time …
MND NewsWire – 10:27AM
A Surprise in Pending Sales Kicks Off 2019
Expectations were high for a strong pending home sales report to christen the New Year. Those expectations were more than satisfied. The National Association of Realtors® (NAR) …
Mortgage Rate Watch – 5:54PM
Mortgage Rates Not Interested in Any of Today’s Drama
At one point today, there were three apparently important events dominating the newswires simultaneously. These included the Fed Chair’s congressional testimony, the Cohen congressional …

Latest Video


Powell: We’re close to an agreement on balance sheet plan

Pending home sales beat estimates, rising 4.6 percent

The Fed added a third mandate of financial stability, Brookings scholar says

More News from ‘Around the Web’

newsletter_2D00_mbslive.png

Today’s Rates

Best Execution hdr_arrow.png
Rate Change
Current Mortgage Rates »
What are best-execution rates?
30 Yr FRM 4.47% +0.02
15 Yr FRM 4.06% +0.01
FHA 30 Year Fixed 4.14% +0.01
Jumbo 30 Year Fixed 4.30% +0.01
5/1 Yr ARM 4.38% +0.02

Average Mortgage Rates

Rate Points Change
FHFA * hdr_arrow.png
15 Yr. Fixed 4.34% 1.16 +0.04
30 Yr. Fixed 4.98% 1.17 -0.01
MBA ** hdr_arrow.png
30 Yr. Fixed 4.69% 0.45 -0.07
15 Yr. Fixed 4.11% 0.47 -0.05
30 Yr. Jumbo 4.50% 0.28 -0.10
30 Yr. FHA 4.70% 0.57 -0.07
5/1 ARM 4.04% 0.37 -0.10
Freddie Mac ** hdr_arrow.png
Current Mortgage Rates »
* FHFA averages are updated monthly.
** Mortgage Bankers Association (each Wednesday) and Freddie Mac (each Thursday) averages are updated weekly.
30 Yr. Fixed 4.35% 0.50 -0.02
15 Yr. Fixed 3.78% 0.40 -0.03
1 Yr. ARM 2.68% 0.20 +0.01
5/1 Yr. ARM 3.84% 0.30 -0.04

Secondary Markets

MBS hdr_arrow.png
Price Change
30YR FNMA 3.0 97.94 -0.23
30YR FNMA 3.5 100.20 -0.19
30YR GNMA 3.0 98.98 -0.17
30YR GNMA 3.5 101.05 -0.13
15YR FNMA 3.0 99.92 -0.11
15YR FNMA 2.5 98.19 -0.13
Treasuries hdr_arrow.png
Yield Change
Current MBS / Treasury Prices »
MBS and Treasury data provided by Thomson Reuters.
Mortgage News Daily and MBS Live! are exclusive re-distributors of Real Time Thomson Reuters Mortgage Information.
Secondary Marketing Managers:
If you are interested in gaining access to the most accurate real-time back-month TBA indications from Thomson Reuters and Tradeweb. Request More Information
TR_Eikon_Email.png
2 YR 2.5000% +0.0161
5 YR 2.4820% +0.0352
10 YR 2.6861% +0.0486
30 YR 3.0656% +0.0577
Prices as of: 2/27/2019 5:06PM EST

23623981

This information is not an advertisement to extend consumer credit as defined by Section 226.2 of Regulation Z. This is not an offer to enter into an agreement regarding interest rates. The rates quoted do not include discount points, origination points, or loan level risk based price adjustments. Rates and terms are subject to change without notice.
© 2019 Brown House Media, Inc. All rights reserved.
Brown House Media Inc. – 19706 One Norman Blvd – Cornelius, NC 28031
View this Report in your Web Browser | Forward to a Friend | Subscribe
You were sent this email because you opted to receive our weekly or daily email reports. Go here to manage your email preferences or here to unsubscribe from all email communications.

Daily Rate Update: Mortgage Rates Not Interested in Any of Today’s Drama

View this Report in your Web Browser | Forward to a Friend | Subscribe
dailyrateheader.png
30 Year Fixed
4.47% +0.02
15 Year Fixed
4.06% +0.01
10YR Treasury
2.69% +0.0486
FNMA 30YR 3.5
100.20 -0.19
FNMA 15YR 2.5
99.92 -0.11
View Today’s Rates
Mortgage Rates Not Interested in Any of Today’s Drama
February 27, 2019
At one point today, there were three apparently important events dominating the newswires simultaneously. These included the Fed Chair’s congressional testimony, the Cohen congressional testimony, and–you guessed it–congressional testimony from Lighthizer on US/China trade policy. Mortgage rates are determined by the bond market, and the bond market could make a case for caring about any of these three events. Interestingly enough, almost all of the day’s bond market movement arrived BEFORE any of the testimonies.

Unfortunately, the movement in question was bad for rates, but the damage was fairly minimal. The average lender is still able to quote the same rates as yesterday, but the upfront costs would be slightly higher.

Tomorrow, rates will have another chance to pay attention to the news when the 4th quarter GDP revision is finally released after being delayed by the government shutdown. Analysts are expecting the number to come in at 2.3% versus an initial estimate of 3.5%. If it manages to come in much higher than that, it could put additional upward pressure on rates.

Loan Originator Perspective

New day, but same story for bonds as we remain locked in an exceptionally narrow range. We do get meaningful GDP and inflation data Thursday/Friday, but I doubt it’ll be sufficient to change bonds’ outlook. I’m locking loans closing within 30 days. –Ted Rood, Senior Originator

Bonds bounced again off of resistance around 2.62 on the 10yr and look like they want to test the top end of the range. With the better rate sheets i am seeing this morning, i believe it is best to go ahead and lock in. –Victor Burek, Churchill Mortgage

Today’s Most Prevalent Rates

  • 30YR FIXED – 4.375 – 4.5%
  • FHA/VA – 4.125 – 4.25%
  • 15 YEAR FIXED – 4.0 – 4.125%
  • 5 YEAR ARMS – 4.25 – 4.625% depending on the lender


Ongoing Lock/Float Considerations

  • Headwinds that had plagued rates for most of the past 2 years began to die down in late 2018. A rapid decline in the stock market certainly helped drive investors into bonds (which helps rates) Highest rates in more than 7 years in Oct/Nov. 8-month lows by the end of the year
  • This is a bit of a crossroads. The rising rate environment could flare up again. We may look back at Oct/Nov and see a long-term ceiling, or we may look back at early December and see a temporary correction before more pain.
  • Either way, late 2018 was a sign that rates are willing to take opportunities presented to them. From here, it will be up to economic data, fiscal policies, and the stock market to decide on the next set of opportunities. The rougher the overall outlook, the better interest rates tend to do.
  • Rates discussed refer to the most frequently-quoted, conforming, conventional 30yr fixed rate for top tier borrowers among average to well-priced lenders. The rates generally assume little-to-no origination or discount except as noted when applicable. Rates appearing on this page are “effective rates” that take day-to-day changes in upfront costs into consideration.

30 Year Fixed Rate Mortgage
27?w=360
15 Year Fixed Rate Mortgage
27?w=360&p=15YRFRM

Co-branding this Report
Enable co-branding to personalize this report with your business information here. Learn more about co-branding with NO competitor ads.

Today’s Rates

Best Execution hdr_arrow.png
Rate Change
Current Mortgage Rates »
What are best-execution rates?
30 Yr FRM 4.47% +0.02
15 Yr FRM 4.06% +0.01
FHA 30 Year Fixed 4.14% +0.01
Jumbo 30 Year Fixed 4.30% +0.01
5/1 Yr ARM 4.38% +0.02

Average Mortgage Rates

Rate Points Change
FHFA * hdr_arrow.png
15 Yr. Fixed 4.34% 1.16 +0.04
30 Yr. Fixed 4.98% 1.17 -0.01
MBA ** hdr_arrow.png
30 Yr. Fixed 4.69% 0.45 -0.07
15 Yr. Fixed 4.11% 0.47 -0.05
30 Yr. Jumbo 4.50% 0.28 -0.10
30 Yr. FHA 4.70% 0.57 -0.07
5/1 ARM 4.04% 0.37 -0.10
Freddie Mac ** hdr_arrow.png
Current Mortgage Rates »
* FHFA averages are updated monthly.
** Mortgage Bankers Association (each Wednesday) and Freddie Mac (each Thursday) averages are updated weekly.
30 Yr. Fixed 4.35% 0.50 -0.02
15 Yr. Fixed 3.78% 0.40 -0.03
1 Yr. ARM 2.68% 0.20 +0.01
5/1 Yr. ARM 3.84% 0.30 -0.04

Secondary Markets

MBS hdr_arrow.png
Price Change
30YR FNMA 3.0 97.94 -0.23
30YR FNMA 3.5 100.20 -0.19
30YR GNMA 3.0 98.98 -0.17
30YR GNMA 3.5 101.05 -0.13
15YR FNMA 3.0 99.92 -0.11
15YR FNMA 2.5 98.19 -0.13
Treasuries hdr_arrow.png
Yield Change
Current MBS / Treasury Prices »
MBS and Treasury data provided by Thomson Reuters.
Mortgage News Daily and MBS Live! are exclusive re-distributors of Real Time Thomson Reuters Mortgage Information.
Secondary Marketing Managers:
If you are interested in gaining access to the most accurate real-time back-month TBA indications from Thomson Reuters and Tradeweb. Request More Information
2 YR 2.5000% +0.0161
5 YR 2.4820% +0.0352
10 YR 2.6861% +0.0486
30 YR 3.0656% +0.0577
Prices as of: 2/27/2019 5:06PM EST

TR_Eikon_Email.png

About This Report
Mortgage News Daily is a trusted source of mortgage rate market data and analysis, with over 1 million readers each month. Unlike many rate surveys, our survey is conducted on a daily basis and is designed to bring you the most current and accurate rate data available. We use a proprietary formula to calculate averages based on best-execution rates from top lender’s rate sheets, also taking into account feedback from hundreds of mortgage market professionals around the country.
© 2019 Brown House Media, Inc. All rights reserved.
Brown House Media Inc. – 19706 One Norman Blvd – Cornelius, NC 28031
View this Report in your Web Browser | Forward to a Friend | Subscribe
This information is not an advertisement to extend consumer credit as defined by Section 226.2 of Regulation Z. This is not an offer to enter into an agreement regarding interest rates. The rates quoted do not include discount points, origination points, or loan level risk based price adjustments. Rates presented in this report are averages and are subject to change without notice.
You were sent this email because you opted to receive our weekly or daily email reports. Go here to manage your email preferences or here to unsubscribe from all email communications.